The wheel seems to have come off the whole man-made global warming religion.
Ok, let’s digress. Supposing on April 1st I said, “I calculate that by April 2nd I will have grown an extra 2 metres taller”. It’s now April 3rd. I didn’t grow an extra 2 metres taller. I got that ‘calculation’ wrong, didn’t I?
Having made a prediction which completely failed how could I weasel out of it? Well, I guess I could use the phrase, “My calculation wasn’t wrong in any way shape or form since it was probabilistic.”
Eh?
Yes, you’d be perfectly justified if you shouted at me with a sneering, “No!”
You’d be perfectly justified to tell me to just man up to having been completely and absolutely wrong.
So back to those who love to tell us that the planet is warming and it’s all our fault, the UK’s Meteorological Office.
It took a Freedom of Information request for the Met Office to finally reveal their three-monthly weather, erm, ‘calculations’ issued at the end of March 2012. Their ‘calculation’ said: “The forecast for average UK rainfall slightly favours drier than average conditions for April-May-June, and slightly favours April being the driest of the three months.”
April 2012 was the start of month after month after month of some of the heaviest rainfall we had seen since records started in 1910. So, to you, to me, and to any other sane person, they got it wrong. Spectacularly wrong. The wrongest possible wrong that they could have got it.
Will they admit they got it wrong? Of course not. According to the Met Office chief scientist Julia Slingo, last year’s calculations were not actually wrong because they were ‘probabilistic’.
No dear, trust me, they were wrong.
If I was to say that I wasn’t wrong about growing 2 metres taller because my calculations about my growth spurt were ‘probabilistic’, you’d just laugh at me wouldn’t you?
Quietly the Met Office have admitted that their forecast was “not helpful”. Not helpful? Billions of Pounds worth of computer equipment and they can’t actually get it slightly right?
Yet we are supposed to accept that their predictions about global warming decades ahead are ‘right’ and ‘helpful’. Who are they kidding? Yep, climate isn’t weather, but this is about trust. How can we trust the people who have so terribly failed to predict or forecast either? Decades ago we were being told that by now snow would be something our children would never experience. Wrong yet again.
Decades ago the predictions were for steady warming in an upward trend for the planet. By now temperatures should have risen according to all the ‘models’. Wrong. Wrong. Wrong. Temperatures have not risen for nearly 20 years, and there are indications that they are plummeting as we enter the new little ice age caused by the sun’s lack of activity.
Maybe if they were to unhook the predetermined and unscientific global warming religion out of the equation they’d be able to calculate what’s really going to happen.
England's England 