The Met Office, despite having Millions of Pounds worth of computer modelling equipment paid for by us the public, has spent a number of years giving us some strange mixed messages. They tell us how accurate their “5 day forecast” is (although I proved this completely wrong here), and how long range forecasts are always unreliable. Except, of course, they are able to ‘predict’ global warming decades ahead apparently. Well, apparently not since they didn’t predict the current global cooling in all the forecasts a decade ago that said that by now we’d be a couple of degrees hotter than ‘norm’. Rubbish.
In fact, the Met Office predictions for the general trend for ‘summer’ and ‘winter’ got so embarrassing that last year they threw their toys out of their pram, stamped their feet and said they weren’t going to play any more. Promises of a barbecue summer that turned into a wet damp wash out and a mild winter that actually ended up being one of the coldest with snow bringing the country to a complete halt finally turned round and bit them.
Despite their failings, the Met Office followed in the footsteps of the bailed out banks and awarded top officials their huge ‘bonuses’ adding to their complete loss of credibility.
Predicting the long range trends for ‘summer’ and ‘winter’ was a void that had to be filled. People need forecasts. Of the number of smaller private weather prediction companies available, ‘Positive Weather Solutions’ was the first to step up and promise the hottest summer on record for 2010. Now, whether or not this will be right is yet to be proved. Only time will tell, as they say.
However, I have long turned my trust to ‘Weatheraction’, a tiny one-man band weather service that has had some amazing ‘hits’ when it has come to predicting floods and major weather events a week or so before they happen. He correctly out-predicted the Met Office over the last 5 seasons of long term ‘summer’ and ‘winter’ forecasts. In fact, had we listened to Weatheraction rather than the Met Office then we would have better stockpiled salt for the roads rather than allowing it to run out and add to the chaos.
The most interesting point about Weatheraction is that all predictions are done by watching the sun’s activities. There is a direct correlation to the various magnetic cycles and sunspot and other activities including how incoming influences are then ‘modulated’ by the moon, say Weatheraction. They do have a fair number of ‘misses’, but probably a near 90% success rate when it comes to using the sun’s activity to correctly predict the, erm, “weather action” down here on this planet.
What is interesting is how the establishment and old science of places like the Met Office seems to dismiss the sun’s influence on weather as being unimportant. My question would then be to ask how they explain the accuracy of the Weatheraction predictions if, as they maintain, climate and weather’s nothing to do with the sun.
Maybe one reason that this science is largely ignored is because it doesn’t fit into the international movement to generate fear of global warming (now re-badged as ‘climate change’), in order to generate economic fortunes for those who are to benefit from the huge money to be raised in green taxes and green energy and the whole ‘carbon’ con. Weatheraction has always taken a position that there is no evidence of man contributing to global warming/climate change, and says that all major trends are cyclic, predictable and influenced nearly entirely by our relationship with the sun. This view is unpopular with the climate change ‘industry’ because it means, if true, that their entire industry is generated on a lie, and they don’t want ordinary people to know that.
As for this summer and the long term forecast, well, quite rightly, Weatheraction charge for their weather predictions and so there are times when Piers Corbyn, the man behind it all, is a little cagey about freely distributing predictions. However, he has challenged the prediction from ‘Positive Weather Solutions’ (a name that sounds like they actually control the weather for us!) for a long hot summer.
Weatheraction is indicating that there will be peaks of very hot weeks at the beginning and end but that generally it will be a bit of a disappointment. Well, if he is correct yet again then we need to start looking more closely at the whole science of weather and climate and its influences, as well as all the bogus nonsense about global warming and climate change.
Not to mention, we also need to enjoy this weekend’s hot weather whilst it lasts.
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